By end of 2026 OpenAI will have an internal system Altman would call AGI
“by the end of the year the company would have an internal system he would call AGI”
Context: TIME interview by Alex Heath (26 Aug 2026). Altman said OpenAI was "not quite yet" at AGI; OpenAI's charter defines AGI as highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work. Distinct from altman-agi-this-term (Trump term / Jan 2029).
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by 31 Dec 2026, OpenAI publicly states it has (or demonstrably deploys internally) a system meeting OpenAI's charter AGI definition—highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work—not merely a self-label without that substance. Self-declaration alone without charter-aligned evidence → needs editor.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 81 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- What changes for
- Everyone
- Readiness milestone
- Part of AGI declared or widely agreed (says it happens)
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