CorrectPrediction
30%: average person can buy a self-driving car for under $100,000 by 2023
“Average person can buy a self-driving car for less than $100,000: 30%”
How we judge it
By 15 Feb 2023 a consumer car capable of unsupervised driving is purchasable under $100k.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- 30%
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- Score
- Brier 0.090 → 0.91 points
