OpenPrediction

AI better, faster and cheaper at any screen-based job "by next year"

“For any job that you can do on the other side of a screen, an AI will probably be able to do it better, faster, and cheaper by next year.”

Emad MostaqueFounder and then-CEO, Stability AISaid · Source: youtube.com

Context: Emad Mostaque on The Open Economy Podcast (Fabric Ventures; video published 23 Jun 2025). Wording from the official video's auto-captions. "Next year" is 2026.

How we judge it

Our interpretation: correct if by 31 Dec 2026 AI can do essentially any remote (screen-based) job better, faster and more cheaply than the humans doing it.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Due in 81 days
Verdict
Open
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)

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