China to be "the world's primary AI innovation center" by 2030
“Third, by 2030, China’s AI theories, technologies, and applications should achieve world-leading levels, making China the world’s primary AI innovation center”
Context: China State Council, "New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan" (Jul 2017), DigiChina/New America full translation.
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by 31 Dec 2030, China leads the world in AI research and frontier capability (e.g. top frontier models and most highly-cited AI research), per major independent indices such as the Stanford AI Index.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 1542 days
- Verdict
- Pending
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- What changes for
- Government & policy
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