OpenPrediction
Affordable home-navigating robot: not before 2035
“Expensive product: NET 2030 Affordable product: NET 2035 What is easy for humans is still very, very hard for robots.”
Context: From Brooks's dated predictions table first published 1 Jan 2018 ("My Dated Predictions"). NET = "no earlier than" (correct if it has not happened before that year); BY = "by that year".
How we judge it
Our interpretation: correct if no affordable (mass-market consumer price) robot able to navigate almost any US home is on sale before 1 Jan 2035.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 3005 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
