PendingPromise
"Several thousand" Optimus robots built in 2025
“Will we succeed in building 10,000 exactly by the end of December this year? Probably not, but will we succeed in making several thousand? Yes, I think we will.”
Context: Elon Musk on the Q4 2024 earnings call.
How we judge it
At least 2,000 Optimus robots built in calendar 2025.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Overdue by 281 days
- Verdict
- Pending
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
Evidence & grader’s note
Due for grading. Mid-year reporting showed production far behind; a full-year figure is needed before grading.
