WrongPrediction

Fully autonomous LA-to-New York demo drive "by the end of next year"

“we’ll be able to do a demonstration drive of full autonomy all the way from LA to New York, from home in LA to let’s say dropping you off in Time Square in New York, and then having the car go park itself, by the end of next year”

Elon MuskCEO of Tesla; founder of xAISaid · Source: techcrunch.com

Context: Press call, reported by TechCrunch ("Time Square" as transcribed by TechCrunch).

How we judge it

A no-intervention coast-to-coast Tesla demonstration drive completed by 31 Dec 2017.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Verdict
Wrong ()
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
Score
0.0 points × weight 3

Later developments

Update, : part of this happened after the deadline, in a materially smaller or weaker form than claimed.

Not counted as “came true late”. The verdict (Wrong) and the score are unchanged. Methodology

An owner (David Moss) drove LA to Myrtle Beach, SC (2,732 mi) on FSD v14 with zero interventions, reported 31 Dec 2025. But it was FSD (Supervised) with a driver in the seat, not a Tesla full-autonomy demo ending in Times Square with self-parking.

Last checked for later developments .

Evidence & grader’s note

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