KeptPromise

China's core AI industry to exceed 400 billion RMB by 2025

“the scale of AI’s core industry will be more than 400 billion RMB, and the scale of related industries will exceed 5 trillion RMB.”

China State CouncilGovernment of the People's Republic of China (national AI development plans)Said · Source: digichina.stanford.edu

Context: China State Council, "New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan" (Jul 2017), DigiChina/New America full translation.

How we judge it

Our interpretation: official Chinese statistics (e.g. MIIT or CAICT) put the core AI industry above 400 billion RMB for 2025.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Verdict
Kept ()
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
Score
1.0 points × weight 2

Evidence & grader’s note

China's MIIT minister said the core AI industry was valued at more than 1.2 trillion yuan in 2025, well above the plan's 400 billion yuan target. (The related-industries target of 5 trillion yuan is not separately graded here.)

Evidence timeline

  1. Statement China State Council makes the claim (quoted above).

Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.

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