OpenPrediction
By 2030 AI will autonomously fix issues, implement features and solve hard scientific programming problems
“By 2030, on current trends, AI will be able to autonomously fix issues, implement features, and solve difficult (but well-defined) scientific programming problems.”
Context: Epoch AI, "What will AI look like in 2030?" (Sep 2025).
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by end-2030, AI agents routinely resolve real-world software issues and implement features end to end without human code edits (e.g. SWE-bench-style benchmarks saturated, plus documented production use), and solve well-specified scientific programming tasks.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 1544 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
