OpenPrediction
Driverless taxi service in 50 of the 100 biggest US cities: not before 2028
“Such "taxi" service as above in 50 of the 100 biggest US cities. NET 2028”
Context: Dated predictions first published 1 Jan 2018; quoted from the 2025 scorecard. NET = "no earlier than".
How we judge it
Correct if no such service exists in 50 of the 100 largest US cities before 1 Jan 2028.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 449 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
