2025 "may very well be" the year Llama and open source become the most advanced models
“I think this will very well be the year when Llama and open source become the most advanced and widely used AI models as well.”
Context: Meta Q4 2024 earnings call; he added "our goal for Llama 4 is to lead."
How we judge it
Our interpretation: at some point in 2025, a Llama model (or open-weight models generally) tops major independent capability leaderboards and is the most widely used model family.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Wrong ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- Score
- 0.0 points × weight 2
Evidence & grader’s note
Llama 4 (Apr 2025), Meta's flagship 2025 release, did not top independent leaderboards: the released Maverick ranked below GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet and Gemini 1.5 Pro on LM Arena, after Meta had shown an unreleased chat-tuned variant.
Evidence timeline
- Verdict Graded: Wrong.
Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.
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