CorrectPrediction
30%: self-driving hail in five of the ten largest US cities by 2023
“…in at least five of ten largest US cities: 30%”
How we judge it
By 15 Feb 2023 public driverless hail available in 5 of the 10 largest US cities.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- 30%
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
- Score
- Brier 0.090 → 0.91 points
