OpenPrediction
"There will be no programmers in five years"
“There will be no programmers in five years.”
Context: Moonshots and Mindsets podcast with Peter Diamandis, quoted by Decrypt.
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by Jul 2028, professional software developer employment has largely disappeared (e.g. down 90%+).
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 662 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
