Lab demo of a robot that can navigate almost any US home: not before 2026
“A robot that can navigate around just about any US home, with its steps, its clutter, its narrow pathways between furniture, etc. Lab demo: NET 2026”
Context: From Brooks's dated predictions table first published 1 Jan 2018 ("My Dated Predictions"). NET = "no earlier than" (correct if it has not happened before that year); BY = "by that year".
How we judge it
Our interpretation: correct if no lab demonstration of a home-class robot navigating a cluttered home including steps took place before 1 Jan 2026.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- Score
- 1.0 points × weight 2
Evidence & grader’s note
Brooks reports no lab demo of a home-class robot that handles clutter and steps before 2026 (he excludes small quadrupeds). Graded on his own scorecard; editor may want an independent check.
Evidence timeline
- Verdict Graded: Correct.
Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.
- What changes for
- Manufacturing & robotics
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