CorrectPrediction
No AGI in 2025
“We will not see artificial general intelligence this year, despite claims by Elon Musk to the contrary.”
Context: "25 AI Predictions for 2025" (high-confidence list).
How we judge it
No system broadly accepted as AGI by 31 Dec 2025.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- Score
- 1.0 points × weight 2
