OpenPrediction

"We are going to expand intelligence a millionfold by 2045"

“We are going to expand intelligence a millionfold by 2045 and it is going to deepen our awareness and consciousness.”

Ray KurzweilFuturist and authorSaid · Source: theguardian.com

Context: Interview with The Guardian (Jun 2024) about The Singularity Is Nearer; his long-standing date for the Singularity, via brain-cloud merger.

How we judge it

Our interpretation: by 2045, humans routinely augment their intelligence through brain-computer interfaces connected to AI, and effective (human plus machine) intelligence is many orders of magnitude above 2024 levels.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Due in 7021 days
Verdict
Open
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
1 of 3 (vague or hedged)

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