- Score
- —
- 95% interval
- —
- Resolved
- 0
- Record (C–P–W)
- 0–0–0
- Open
- 2
- Too vague
- 0
Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.
Calibration
No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.
Track record
Open (2)
OpenPrediction
LLM hallucinations "much less of a problem, certainly by 2029"
“LLM hallucinations [where they create nonsensical or inaccurate outputs] will become much less of a problem, certainly by 2029”
OpenPrediction
Human-level intelligence and AGI by 2029
“So 2029, both for human-level intelligence and for artificial general intelligence (AGI) – which is a little bit different.”
Embed this scorecard
Right of reply: send a correction or response.