Lab demo of a robot doing the "last 10 yards" of package delivery: not before 2025
“A robot that can carry out the last 10 yards of delivery, getting from a vehicle into a house and putting the package inside the front door. Lab demo: NET 2025”
Context: From Brooks's dated predictions table first published 1 Jan 2018 ("My Dated Predictions"). NET = "no earlier than" (correct if it has not happened before that year); BY = "by that year".
How we judge it
Our interpretation: correct if no robot was demonstrated, even in a lab, carrying a package from a vehicle into a house before 1 Jan 2025.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
- Score
- 1.0 points × weight 3
Evidence & grader’s note
Evidence timeline
Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.
- What changes for
- Manufacturing & robotics
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