WrongPrediction
Deep learning to do "a lot better than radiologists" within five years
“People should stop training radiologists now. It’s just completely obvious that within five years, deep learning is going to do a lot better than radiologists”
Context: Recorded on video in 2016 (DotMed: "recorded discussing the matter last year"), screened at the SIIM-NYMIIS meeting and quoted by DotMed in Sep 2017. Exact day not established.
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by end of 2021, deep learning systems outperform radiologists broadly enough that training new radiologists is no longer warranted.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Wrong ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
- Score
- 0.0 points × weight 2
