OpenPrediction
No AGI in 2026 (or 2027)
“We won’t get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).”
Context: "Six (or seven) predictions for AI 2026".
How we judge it
No system broadly accepted as AGI by 31 Dec 2027.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 449 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
