Person

Peter Wildeford

Chief Advisory Executive, Institute for AI Policy and Strategy (IAPS); forecaster

peterwildeford.substack.com

Score: 100%
95% interval: 21%–100%
Resolved: 1
Record (C–P–W): 1–0–0
Open: 0
Too vague: 0

Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 1). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.

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No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.

Track record

Resolved (1)

CorrectPrediction

"Very likely" fully operational 1 GW data centers before mid-2026

“However, it is very likely we will see fully operational 1GW data centers before mid-2026 .”

said Sep 25, 2025 · resolved Jan 9, 2026

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SiPoly, “Peter Wildeford: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/peter-wildeford/ (accessed November 7, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Peter Wildeford: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved November 7, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/peter-wildeford/

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