"Very likely" fully operational 1 GW data centers before mid-2026
“However, it is very likely we will see fully operational 1GW data centers before mid-2026 .”
Context: Peter Wildeford's Substack (Sep 25, 2025): "Currently the world doesn't have any operational 1GW+ data centers."
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by 30 Jun 2026, at least one AI data center reaches 1 GW of operational power, per Epoch AI or similar trackers.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
- Score
- 1.0 points × weight 3
Evidence & grader’s note
- Epoch AI: Anthropic-Amazon New Carlisle reached 1000 MW on 2026-01-09; xAI Colossus 2 on 2026-02-17
- Epoch AI directory: New Carlisle operational, est. 910 MW of IT power
Epoch AI dates New Carlisle reaching 1,000 MW of total facility power on 9 Jan 2026, with Colossus 2 following on 17 Feb 2026. Measured as IT power, Epoch estimates about 910 MW, so it depends on the metric.
Evidence timeline
Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.
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