- Score
- —
- 95% interval
- —
- Resolved
- 0
- Record (C–P–W)
- 0–0–0
- Open
- 1
- Too vague
- 0
Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.
Calibration
No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.
Track record
Open (1)
OpenPrediction
No halving of US labor-force participation and no 15% GDP growth year by 2029
“I don't expect the US labor force participation rate to fall by more than 50% from its current level by 2029, or for US GDP growth to surpass 15% for any year in 2025-2029.”
Embed this scorecard
Right of reply: send a correction or response.