Person
Julian Schrittwieser
AI researcher at Anthropic; formerly Google DeepMind (AlphaGo, MuZero)
- Score
- —
- 95% interval
- —
- Resolved
- 0
- Record (C–P–W)
- 0–0–0
- Open
- 2
- Too vague
- 0
Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.
Calibration
No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.
Track record
Open (2)
By end-2027, models will frequently outperform experts on many tasks
“By the end of 2027, models will frequently outperform experts on many tasks.”
At least one model will match human experts across many industries before end-2026
“At least one model will match the performance of human experts across many industries before the end of 2026.”
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