Person

Dan Schulman

CEO of Verizon; former CEO of PayPal

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.

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Calibration

No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.

Track record

Open (1)

OpenPrediction

"Some form of AGI in the next six to 18 months" (Sep 2026)

“I think we get to some form of AGI in the next six to 18 months. I think it’s right on us.”

said Sep 30, 2026 · Due in 536 days

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Plain citation

SiPoly, “Dan Schulman: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/dan-schulman/ (accessed October 11, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Dan Schulman: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved October 11, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/dan-schulman/

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