Person

Arvind Narayanan

Professor of Computer Science, Princeton; co-author (with Sayash Kapoor) of "AI as Normal Technology" and "AI Snake Oil"

cs.princeton.edu

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

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Track record

Open (1)

OpenPrediction

Transformative economic and societal impacts of AI will take decades

“we think that transformative economic and societal impacts will be slow (on the timescale of decades)”

said Apr 15, 2025 · Due in 3108 days

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SiPoly, “Arvind Narayanan: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/arvind-narayanan/ (accessed October 11, 2026).

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SiPoly. (n.d.). Arvind Narayanan: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved October 11, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/arvind-narayanan/

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