- Score
- 82%
- 95% interval
- 30%–95%
- Resolved
- 4
- Record (C–P–W)
- 3–0–1
- Open
- 0
- Too vague
- 0
Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 4). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.
Promise tracker
Kept 3 Partly 0 Broken 1 Pending 0
Calibration
No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.
Track record
Resolved (4)
More personalized Siri "in the coming year"
“It’s going to take us longer than we thought to deliver on these features and we anticipate rolling them out in the coming year.”
Apple Intelligence on iPhone and iPad in the EU starting April 2025
“This April, Apple Intelligence features will start to roll out to iPhone and iPad users in the EU.”
Apple Intelligence in more languages (Chinese, French, German, Japanese…) starting in April 2025
“Additional languages, including Chinese, English (India), English (Singapore), French, German, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Spanish, and Vietnamese will be coming through…”
ChatGPT integration in iOS 18 and macOS Sequoia "later this year" (2024)
“ChatGPT will come to iOS 18, iPadOS 18, and macOS Sequoia later this year, powered by GPT-4o.”
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