PendingPromise
Optimus "production design 2" to launch in 2026
“Those Optimus in use at the Tesla factories for production design 1 will inform how will we change for production design 2, which we expect to launch next year.”
Context: Elon Musk on the Q4 2024 earnings call.
How we judge it
Tesla starts production of a second Optimus production design during 2026.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 84 days
- Verdict
- Pending
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
