CorrectPrediction
10%: 5% of US truck drivers replaced by self-driving trucks by 2023
“At least 5% of US truck drivers have been replaced by self-driving trucks: 10%”
How we judge it
By 15 Feb 2023, ≥5% of US truck drivers replaced by autonomous trucks.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- 10%
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
- Score
- Brier 0.010 → 0.99 points
