Solve the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment in four years
“Our goal is to solve the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment in four years.”
Context: OpenAI, "Introducing Superalignment" (Jul 5, 2023); a new team co-led by Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike.
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by July 2027, OpenAI's superalignment effort reports solving the core technical challenges of aligning superintelligence.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Withdrawn ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
Evidence & grader’s note
After Sutskever and Leike left in May 2024, OpenAI disbanded the Superalignment team and spread its members across other teams. Marked withdrawn because the four-year deadline has not passed. The 20%-of-compute pledge is a separate seed claim.
Evidence timeline
- Verdict Graded: Withdrawn.
Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.
- What changes for
- Everyone
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