KeptPromise

MiniMax to release the open weights of MiniMax M3.1 Flash on 23 October 2026

“Model weights will arrive on Oct 23.”

MiniMaxChinese AI company; developer of the MiniMax M-series models (MiniMax API, M Plan, MiniMax Code)Said · Source: x.com

Context: MiniMax's official X account (@MiniMax_AI) announcing MiniMax M3.1 Flash on 19 Oct 2026: "M3.1 Flash achieves frontier-level intelligence across key tasks … at 1/3 the cost of M3 and 3x the speed. … Model weights will arrive on Oct 23." The company blog post the same day says the model "is now available through the MiniMax API, M Plan, and MiniMax Code. Model weights will be released later." MiniMax also confirmed that the anonymous "Space Bunny" model was an earlier version of M3.1 Flash. On 20 Oct 2026 no M3.1 Flash repository was listed in MiniMax's Hugging Face organization (MiniMaxAI). Sources: (1) MiniMax on X, 19 Oct 2026; (2) VentureBeat, "MiniMax's new M3.1 Flash beats DeepSeek and Opus 5 on a key business benchmark …" (19 Oct 2026: "open weights coming October 23"); (3) The Decoder, "MiniMax M3.1 Flash shows China's AI price race has no floor in sight" (19 Oct 2026: "MiniMax plans to release the model as open weights on October 23"); (4) MarkTechPost (19 Oct 2026: "weights arrive Oct 23"); (5) MiniMax blog, "MiniMax M3.1 Flash: Redefining Agent Performance and Cost".

How we judge it

Our interpretation: kept if by the end of 23 Oct 2026 (America/Los_Angeles) MiniMax makes the MiniMax M3.1 Flash model weights publicly downloadable (for example on Hugging Face, ModelScope or GitHub) under a licence that any developer can accept; broken if no public weights are available by then. API-only access, or weights limited to selected partners, does not count. A quantized or community re-upload does not count unless MiniMax itself published the weights.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Verdict
Kept ()
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
Score
1.0 points × weight 3

Evidence & grader’s note

MiniMax published the M3.1 Flash weights in its official Hugging Face repo on Oct 22 2026 (US time), ahead of the Oct 23 deadline. Licence is MiniMax's community licence, not OSI-open, but it meets the claim's stored criteria.

Evidence timeline

  1. Statement MiniMax makes the claim (quoted above).
  2. Verdict Graded: Kept.

Dated entries from the claim’s own record (statement, verdict, later developments) and sourced entries added by editors. Each links to its source; none changes the verdict.

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