OpenPrediction
Within a decade AI makes great medical advice and tutoring "free, commonplace"
“with AI, over the next decade, that will become free, commonplace — great medical advice, great tutoring”
Context: Gates on NBC's Tonight Show (Feb 2025), as reported by CNBC (Mar 26, 2025): humans will not be needed "for most things".
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by Feb 2035, AI medical advice and tutoring of a quality comparable to a great doctor or teacher are freely and widely available.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 3064 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 1 of 3 (vague or hedged)
