CorrectPrediction

First freeway lane reserved for truly driverless cars: not before 2021

“First dedicated lane where only cars in truly driverless mode are allowed on a public freeway. NET 2021”

Rodney BrooksRoboticist; co-founder of iRobot and Rethink RoboticsSaid · Source: rodneybrooks.com

Context: From Brooks's dated predictions table first published 1 Jan 2018 ("My Dated Predictions"). NET = "no earlier than" (correct if it has not happened before that year); BY = "by that year".

How we judge it

Our interpretation: correct if no public freeway lane reserved for driverless-mode cars opened before 1 Jan 2021.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Verdict
Correct ()
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
Score
1.0 points × weight 3

Evidence & grader’s note

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