Organization

Moonshot AI

Chinese AI company (Beijing); developer of the Kimi models and the Kimi app, API, Kimi Work and Kimi Code

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.

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Promise tracker

Kept 0 Partly 0 Broken 0 Pending 1

Calibration

No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.

Track record

Open (1)

PendingPromise

Moonshot AI to release the full open weights of Kimi K3.1 Pro by 4 November 2026

“Full model weights will be released by Nov 4, 2026.”

said Oct 23, 2026 · Overdue by 3 days

Embed / Cite

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Embed (iframe)

<iframe src="https://sipoly.si/embed/claimant/moonshot-ai/" title="SiPoly scorecard: Moonshot AI" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:680px" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Embed (auto-resizing script)

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Plain citation

SiPoly, “Moonshot AI: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/moonshot-ai/ (accessed November 7, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Moonshot AI: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved November 7, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/moonshot-ai/

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