Person

Kevin Roose

Technology columnist, The New York Times; co-host of Hard Fork

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

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Track record

Open (1)

OpenPrediction

An AI company will claim AGI "probably in 2026 or 2027"

“I believe that very soon — probably in 2026 or 2027, but possibly as soon as this year — one or more A.I. companies will claim they’ve created an artificial general intelligence”

said Mar 14, 2025 · Due in 446 days

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SiPoly, “Kevin Roose: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/kevin-roose/ (accessed October 11, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Kevin Roose: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved October 11, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/kevin-roose/

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