CorrectPrediction

Hallucinations "will continue to haunt generative AI" in 2025

“Hallucinations (which should really be called confabulations) will continue to haunt generative AI.”

Gary MarcusCognitive scientist and author; AI commentatorSaid · Source: garymarcus.substack.com

Context: "25 AI Predictions for 2025".

How we judge it

Our interpretation: correct if at end of 2025 leading labs still acknowledge hallucinations as an unsolved problem in their frontier models.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Verdict
Correct ()
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
Score
1.0 points × weight 2

Evidence & grader’s note

OpenAI's own Sep 2025 research post says hallucinations remain a fundamental challenge for all large language models, including GPT-5.

Share this scorecard

Post on X LinkedIn Share image (PNG)