CorrectPrediction
70%: AI beats a top human player at StarCraft by 2023
“AI beats a top human player at Starcraft: 70%”
How we judge it
By 15 Feb 2023 an AI defeats a top professional StarCraft player.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- 70%
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
- Score
- Brier 0.090 → 0.91 points
Evidence & grader’s note
DeepMind AlphaStar beat professional players in 2019 (evidence link to add).
