CorrectPrediction
No system will solve more than 4 of the Marcus-Brundage tasks in 2025
“No single system will solve more than 4 of the AI 2027 Marcus-Brundage tasks by the end of 2025.”
How we judge it
No single AI system reliably performs 5+ of the 10 tasks by 31 Dec 2025.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Verdict
- Correct ()
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
- Score
- 1.0 points × weight 3
