Person
Roman Yampolskiy
Professor of Computer Science, University of Louisville; AI safety researcher
- Score
- —
- 95% interval
- —
- Resolved
- 0
- Record (C–P–W)
- 0–0–0
- Open
- 2
- Too vague
- 0
Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.
Calibration
No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.
Track record
Open (2)
OpenPrediction
"In five years" unemployment levels never seen before: "Not talking about 10% … but 99%"
“In five years, we’re looking at levels of unemployment we’ve never seen before”
OpenPrediction
AGI "likely to arrive by 2027"
“said artificial general intelligence — systems as capable as humans across domains — is likely to arrive by 2027.”
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