OpenPrediction
2025 will be seen as the year of "peak bubble" for generative AI
“2025 will be known as the year of the peak bubble , and also the moment at which Wall Street began to lose confidence in generative AI.”
How we judge it
Our interpretation: by end-2026, major AI-exposed equity indices or AI company valuations are materially below their 2025 peaks.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 84 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 1 of 3 (vague or hedged)
