OpenPrediction
30% of IBM back-office roles replaced over five years
“I could easily see 30% of that getting replaced by AI and automation over a five-year period.”
Context: Bloomberg interview, quoted by Fortune. "That" = IBM's roughly 26,000 non-customer-facing roles.
How we judge it
By May 2028, ~30% (~7,800) of those IBM roles replaced by AI/automation, per IBM disclosures or credible reporting.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 570 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
