OpenPrediction
Dexterous robot hands generally available: not before 2030 (hopefully by 2040)
“Dexterous robot hands generally available. NET 2030 BY 2040 (I hope!)”
Context: From Brooks's dated predictions table first published 1 Jan 2018 ("My Dated Predictions"). NET = "no earlier than" (correct if it has not happened before that year); BY = "by that year".
How we judge it
Our interpretation: correct if articulated, human-like dexterous robot hands are not generally available as deployed products before 1 Jan 2030.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 1180 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
