Organization

TSMC

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world's largest contract chipmaker (manufactures most leading AI accelerators)

investor.tsmc.com en.wikipedia.org

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.

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Promise tracker

Kept 0 Partly 0 Broken 0 Pending 1

Calibration

No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.

Track record

Open (1)

PendingPromise

TSMC's second Arizona fab (3nm) to begin volume production in Q3 2027, slightly ahead of schedule

“Volume production will begin in third quarter 2027, slightly ahead of our previous schedule.”

said Oct 15, 2026 · Due in 328 days

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Embed (iframe)

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Embed (auto-resizing script)

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Plain citation

SiPoly, “TSMC: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/tsmc/ (accessed November 6, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). TSMC: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved November 6, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/tsmc/

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