Organization

Reflection AI

AI lab building open-weight frontier models; founded 2024 by former Google DeepMind researchers Misha Laskin and Ioannis Antonoglou

reflection.ai en.wikipedia.org

Score: 100%
95% interval: 21%–100%
Resolved: 1
Record (C–P–W): 1–0–0
Open: 0
Too vague: 0

Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 1). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.

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Promise tracker

Kept 1 Partly 0 Broken 0 Pending 0

Calibration

No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.

Track record

Resolved (1)

KeptPromise

Reflection to release Beam's open weights, technical report and model card "later this month" (October 2026)

“We will release the weights, technical report, model card, and developer artifacts later this month.”

said Oct 5, 2026 · resolved Oct 16, 2026

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Embed (iframe)

<iframe src="https://sipoly.si/embed/claimant/reflection-ai/" title="SiPoly scorecard: Reflection AI" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:680px" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Embed (auto-resizing script)

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Plain citation

SiPoly, “Reflection AI: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/reflection-ai/ (accessed November 6, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Reflection AI: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved November 6, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/reflection-ai/

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