Person

Paul Schrader

Screenwriter and film director (Taxi Driver, First Reformed)

en.wikipedia.org

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 0). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.

Compare with…

Calibration

No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.

Track record

Open (1)

OpenPrediction

"Only two years away from the first AI feature" (Oct 2025)

“I think we’re only two years away from the first AI feature.”

said Oct 24, 2025 · Due in 378 days

Embed / Cite

The embedded card is live and shows the current score and record, with the date the data was read.

Embed (iframe)

<iframe src="https://sipoly.si/embed/claimant/paul-schrader/" title="SiPoly scorecard: Paul Schrader" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:680px" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Embed (auto-resizing script)

<div data-sipoly-claimant="paul-schrader"></div><script async src="https://sipoly.si/sipoly-embed.js"></script>

Plain citation

SiPoly, “Paul Schrader: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/paul-schrader/ (accessed October 11, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Paul Schrader: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved October 11, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/paul-schrader/

Right of reply: send a correction or response.