Person

Vernor Vinge

Mathematician, computer scientist and science-fiction author who popularized "the Singularity" (1944-2024)

en.wikipedia.org

Score: 0%
95% interval: 0%–79%
Resolved: 1
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–1
Open: 0
Too vague: 0

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Track record

Resolved (1)

WrongPrediction

"Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence"

“Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.”

said Mar 30, 1993 · resolved Jan 5, 2024

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Plain citation

SiPoly, “Vernor Vinge: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/vernor-vinge/ (accessed November 7, 2026).

APA style

SiPoly. (n.d.). Vernor Vinge: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved November 7, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/vernor-vinge/

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