Person

Daron Acemoglu

Institute Professor of Economics, MIT; 2024 Nobel laureate in economics

economics.mit.edu

Score: —
95% interval: —
Resolved: 0
Record (C–P–W): 0–0–0
Open: 1
Too vague: 0

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Track record

Open (1)

OpenPrediction

AI will add less than 0.55% to total factor productivity over 10 years

“Consequently, predicted TFP gains over the next 10 years are even more modest and are predicted to be less than 0.55%.”

said Apr 5, 2024 · Due in 3003 days

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SiPoly, “Daron Acemoglu: AI predictions and promises track record.” https://sipoly.si/who/daron-acemoglu/ (accessed October 11, 2026).

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SiPoly. (n.d.). Daron Acemoglu: AI predictions and promises track record [Forecaster profile]. sipoly.si. Retrieved October 11, 2026, from https://sipoly.si/who/daron-acemoglu/

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