OpenPrediction
Data centre electricity demand will more than double to ~945 TWh by 2030
“It projects that electricity demand from data centres worldwide is set to more than double by 2030 to around 945 terawatt-hours (TWh), slightly more than the entire electricity consumption of Japan today.”
Context: IEA special report "Energy and AI" (Apr 2025), Base Case.
How we judge it
Our interpretation: correct if IEA (or comparable) data put global data-centre electricity consumption in 2030 at 850-1,050 TWh.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 1910 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
Evidence & grader’s note
Tracking: the IEA reported data-centre electricity demand up 17% in 2025.
