CorrectPrediction

Less than 10% of the workforce replaced by AI in 2025

“Less than 10% of the work force will be replaced by AI. Probably less than 5%.”

Gary MarcusCognitive scientist and author; AI commentatorSaid · Source: garymarcus.substack.com

How we judge it

Under 10% of the US workforce displaced by AI by 31 Dec 2025.

Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology

Said
Resolve by
Verdict
Correct ()
Stated probability
None stated
Specificity
2 of 3 (dated, some interpretation)
Score
1.0 points × weight 2

Evidence & grader’s note

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