- Score
- 100%
- 95% interval
- 34%–100%
- Resolved
- 2
- Record (C–P–W)
- 2–0–0
- Open
- 1
- Too vague
- 0
Not ranked yet: leaderboards need at least 5 resolved claims (has 2). Score = specificity-weighted average of claim points; we grade claims, not people.
Promise tracker
Kept 2 Partly 0 Broken 0 Pending 1
Calibration
No resolved claims with a stated probability yet, so there is nothing to calibrate. Calibration needs forecasts like “70% chance of X”.
Track record
Resolved (2)
Seoul commitment: publish a safety framework before the France summit
“to demonstrate how they have achieved this by publishing a safety framework focused on severe risks by the upcoming AI Summit in France.”
Llama 3: multimodal, multilingual, longer-context models "over the coming months"
“Over the coming months, we’ll release multiple models with new capabilities including multimodality, the ability to converse in multiple languages, a much longer context window, an…”
Open (1)
Hyperion data centre: 2 GW online by 2030, scaling to 5 GW
“Gabriel says Meta plans to bring two gigawatts of data center capacity online by 2030 with Hyperion, but that it would scale to five gigawatts in several years.”
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